Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.013155 0.016218 0.020176 0.025820 0.033942 0.045699 0.065057
2024-10-06 0.009561 0.012883 0.017799 0.026105 0.041019 0.069925 0.142516
2024-10-13 0.007397 0.010452 0.015324 0.024429 0.043323 0.088828 0.257288
2024-10-20 0.006239 0.009146 0.014067 0.024069 0.047688 0.118338 0.542785
2024-10-27 0.005678 0.008633 0.013951 0.025770 0.058126 0.186285 2.049115
2024-11-03 0.005284 0.008304 0.014049 0.027968 0.072385 0.319763 32.164204
2024-11-10 0.004968 0.008041 0.014189 0.030354 0.090742 0.604740 NaN
2024-11-17 0.004525 0.007457 0.013511 0.030287 0.100134 0.947895 NaN
2024-11-24 0.004125 0.006894 0.012754 0.029696 0.107007 1.449857 NaN
2024-12-01 0.003670 0.006162 0.011482 0.027090 0.100711 1.580936 NaN
2024-12-08 0.003333 0.005634 0.010602 0.025478 0.098994 1.951282 NaN
2024-12-15 0.003120 0.005332 0.010204 0.025319 0.106500 3.400786 NaN
2024-12-22 0.003004 0.005244 0.010369 0.027424 0.136698 22.099544 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002813 0.004974 0.010041 0.027684 0.155556 430.676451 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002565 0.004555 0.009256 0.025865 0.151315 11029.353483 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002401 0.004300 0.008859 0.025475 0.162874 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 0.002330 0.004242 0.008977 0.027318 0.211103 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 0.002276 0.004215 0.009174 0.029706 0.289009 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 0.002225 0.004189 0.009372 0.032305 0.408784 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002116 0.004012 0.009086 0.032232 0.465894 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.002004 0.003820 0.008725 0.031587 0.504333 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001857 0.003529 0.008027 0.028751 0.435524 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001742 0.003312 0.007534 0.027001 0.409991 NaN NaN